Mostly summarized from Gregory Mankiw’s Principles of Economics 5th Ed.

PART 2 How Markets Work

Chapter 6 of 36 Supply, Demand, and Government Policies 

Section 14 of 15

Figure 9 illustrates the general lesson a tax burden falls more heavily on whichever side of the market for a good, consumers or suppliers, that is less elastic, less sensitive to price increase caused by the tax.

Elasticity measures the willingness of consumers or suppliers to exit a market when conditions change unfavorably, such as a tax increase.

Case of a small elasticity of demand, Figure 9 (a).

A relatively inelastic, more vertical, demand curve means consumers have few alternatives to consuming the good, there is not a close substitute to purchase.

Case of a small elasticity of supply, Figure 9 (b).

A relatively inelastic, more vertical, supply curve means suppliers have few alternatives to supplying the good, cannot easily produce something else.

When a good is taxed

· the side of the market, consumers or suppliers

· with fewer alternatives = more inelastic = more vertical curve

· is less willing to leave the market than the other side

· and bears more of the burden of the tax

In case (a), for the FICA payroll tax

· consumers (firms) have to pay a lot more for the good (workers’ labor), up to B from A

· suppliers (workers) have to receive a little less, down to C from A

In case (b)

· consumers have to pay a little more for the good, up to D from A

· suppliers have to receive a lot less, down to E from A

Most economists believe the supply of labor is much less elastic than the demand for it, as in panel (b).

This means distribution of the FICA payroll tax burden is not close to the half to firms and half to workers lawmakers intend.

Rather most of the payroll tax burden falls on workers.

As shown before, the end result would be the same even if firms, or workers, paid 100% of the tax.

… …

most economists believe it

hotondo no keizai gakusha ga sore o shinjite imasu

ほとんどの経済学者がそれを信じています


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