Minimum Wage Increases Mandated by Government Are Lose-Lose-Lose for Workers

First watch this short video:  Is Raising the Minimum Wage a Bad Idea?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9aCpaON5NyE

Most economists believe the demand for labor is elastic, with a relatively horizontal labor demand curve, as in Figure 1.

This means

-a 1% increase in wages

-causes a more than 1% number of workers not demanded by employers

With natural free-market equilibrium wage A, total wages earned by all minimum wage workers is the square area AED0.

After the newly government-mandated higher minimum wage B, employment falls to C, total wages earned falls to BFC0.

Lose #1

The minimum wage increase from wage A to wage B, results in

-a decrease in number of minimum wage workers employed, moving from D to C

At higher minimum wage B they are largely replaced with:

-higher value workers including college students, retirees, and housewives who before thought the free-market minimum wage too low to get a job

-increased automation, previously more expensive than the minimum wage

Lose #2

A decrease in total wages for those who remain employed at new higher minimum wage, moving from large area AED0 to small area BFC0.

Lose #3:

Prices go up to cover the new higher minimum wage cost.

Wage costs are about 75% of a typical company’s total costs.

Higher prices hurt low-income people the most.

All these are why politicians avoid mandating big minimum wage increases, such as from wage A to wage B.

With any minimum wage increase there is some loss of jobs and total wages.

But with a small minimum wage increase, it seems it is a gain for workers, because:

· those who get the new higher minimum wage get the most attention

· many of the unemployed are hidden because they never get a job in the first place

There is a possible additional Lose #4:

A minimum wage can act as a ceiling on wages, keeping wages lower than they would be if there was no minimum wage law:

· employer knows new worker is actually worth $12 per hour, more than minimum wage $10

· but the new worker expects and accepts the $10 minimum wage

· workers become comfortable with the workplace and do not look around for a job that pays the $12 they are worth

· because employers know they can hire $12 value people at $10, job wage level and mobility are decreased

Perhaps the only benefit of a mandated higher minimum wage is

a large group of people, those don’t understand or accept the above information, get a satisfying feeling government cares and is trying to do something to help them.

As California governor Jerry Brown said, “increasing the minimum wage to $15 is the moral thing to do, but economically it might not make sense.”

Politicians’ pushing for a higher minimum wage can help maintain current political stability and garner votes for those politicians.

Many people become more satisfied with the “we care” government, at costs of

-slowed economic growth

-increased unemployment

-lower total wages for low wage workers

-increased government-dependency

-increased future political instability, with many people then again pressing for government to “do more to help.” 

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